The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 85.8%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 14.2%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 85.8%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22%.Personal pension is about to be fully rolled out: it is necessary to "divide the product shelves". Since it was officially launched in November 2022, the personal pension system has entered its third year. Insiders told reporters that according to the relevant arrangements, on the basis of the pilot experience in 36 cities, the system will soon be implemented nationwide, and the relevant deployment is imminent. Taking personal pension as the starting point, financial institutions' sense of participation in pension finance has been continuously improved, product shelves connected with personal pension system have been continuously enriched, and people's awareness of pension reserves has also been improved. Judging from the pilot situation, under the "enthusiastic offensive" of major banks, insurance, funds and other institutions, although it is not difficult to increase the number of accounts opened, problems such as "cold deposit" and "idle accounts" still exist. Related issues are the result of multiple factors interweaving, and people in the industry expect relevant policies to be optimized. When the personal pension system is about to be fully rolled out, how to make this pension reserve related to people's livelihood applaud and make a seat? Experts suggest that with the continuous expansion and upgrading of various products, product shelves need to be layered, strengthen differentiated advantages, and improve public participation and capital use efficiency. At the same time, optimize product design and policy support to ensure the fairness and operability of layered products, so as to realize the long-term sustainable development of individual pension system. (CSI)Bitcoin fell below $95,000 and fell nearly 3% in the day. Ethereum fell more than 6% and fell below $3,600.
TOPPAN Holdings of Japan will join the chip packaging consortium of the United States and Japan.AI application storm eye: change and shuffling coexist, and the CAMBRIAN was transferred to the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index, which caused great concern in the market. Recently, most AI concept stocks sought after by funds in the secondary market are facing the challenge of uncertainty such as low revenue. Is this a bubble or a fetal movement on the eve of industrial change? The reporter interviewed a number of people in the industry. Respondents generally recognized the judgment of "AI is not a bubble". At the same time, they believed that the market, represented by large-scale model technology, was entering a rational period, and turned from the "Hundred Models War" to reflect on how to realize the expansion of technical boundaries and promote the commercialization of AIGC. In this process, represented by the agent, large-scale model, multi-scene and singing will support the unprecedented generate of AI application. However, it is undeniable that under the influx of various participants, the competition is becoming increasingly fierce, which also reflects the sharp increase in the commercialization pressure of some practitioners' AI applications. Looking ahead from the new starting line, the big model track is undergoing a transformation from "atomic bomb" to "tea egg", and the shuffling year may start, and some platforms may fade out of the stage. At the same time, upstream industrial chains such as AI chips will also face mountains with long cycle, high intensity and high cost for a long time. Whether it is technology update or cash flow operation, we must be cautious. (Securities Times)Moody's rating adjusted the outlook of California to stability.
The phenomenon of "high-priced over-offering" still occurs from time to time, and the "white list" of offline professional institutional investors will be released. Since the reform of the comprehensive registration system, the pricing function of market-oriented issuance has gradually played a role, but the phenomenon of "high-priced over-offering" has occurred from time to time, causing widespread concern in the market. On December 9, the reporter learned from the brokerage office that China Securities Association (hereinafter referred to as "China Securities Association") summarized the experience of classified management of offline investors in recent years, studied and formulated the "White List Management Guidelines for Offline Professional Institutional Investors (Trial)", and solicited opinions from brokers, aiming at giving full play to the exemplary role of large financial institutions, implementing dynamic adjustment, building a high-quality offline investor team, and promoting the formation of superior and inferior. (Securities Daily)On December 9, the top 20 US stock turnover: Apple hit a record high, with a market value exceeding 3.7 trillion US dollars. On Monday, Apple, the fifth US stock turnover, closed up 1.61%, and its share price reached a record high, with a turnover of 10.425 billion US dollars and a market value of about 3.73 trillion US dollars. It is reported that by 2025, a quarter of Apple's iPhone will be produced outside China, and India will become the most likely production base. As a fast-growing market, India has hundreds of millions of potential customers, and Samsung and China brands have launched fierce competition here. According to market research firm IDC, the average price of smartphones in India has risen from $192 in the third quarter of 2020 to $293 in the same period of 2024. Apple's market share increased by nearly 60% from the third quarter of 2023 to 2024, which was partly due to its launch of the old iPhone which was more close to the people. (Global Market Broadcast)The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 85.8%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 14.2%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 85.8%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22%.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13